jueves, 21 de enero de 2010

The UN admits he was wrong in predicting the melting of Himalayan glaciers

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has admitted that not enough scientific evidence about the rapid melting of Himalayan glaciers, as predicted in the Fourth Assessment Report published in 2007, and has apologized for his mistake.

For the year 2035 these glaciers could be gone altogether, the report of the IPCC, a body set up by the UN. This is the paragraph in question: "Glaciers in the Himalayas are receding faster than anywhere else in the world and if the current pace continues, the probability of disappearing by 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high if the Earth keeps warming at the current rate.

However, this forecast was made without properly implement control standards required by the IPCC, the agency said. As explained, it was erroneous both the calculation of the mass of ice melt as the estimated date of disappearance of glaciers. These data came from, "the testimony of an expert" and not a reference article that has been reviewed by another expert, as required by the IPCC.
The general conclusion remains valid

The IPCC said that despite this, the report's overall conclusion is still valid. It is not known if the Himalayan ice will run out but you lose it. The mass loss of glaciers in Asia and Latin America will accelerate during the twenty-first century.

Because the glaciers have an important role in the hydrological cycle, the melting could lead to water shortages as well as changes in the seasonality of flooding in areas that receive water from melting ice.

This error could be an argument for the deniers of climate change in order to undermine the credibility of the climatologists.

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